Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000139 0.000155 0.000171 0.000191 0.000212 0.000235 0.000262
2025-10-12 0.000118 0.000140 0.000164 0.000194 0.000229 0.000270 0.000320
2025-10-19 0.000102 0.000126 0.000156 0.000194 0.000242 0.000300 0.000375
2025-10-26 0.000089 0.000115 0.000149 0.000193 0.000252 0.000326 0.000428
2025-11-02 0.000078 0.000106 0.000142 0.000192 0.000261 0.000352 0.000482
2025-11-09 0.000070 0.000099 0.000137 0.000192 0.000271 0.000378 0.000538
2025-11-16 0.000063 0.000091 0.000131 0.000190 0.000276 0.000399 0.000588
2025-11-23 0.000058 0.000086 0.000127 0.000189 0.000284 0.000423 0.000645
2025-11-30 0.000053 0.000082 0.000123 0.000190 0.000293 0.000450 0.000706
2025-12-07 0.000049 0.000077 0.000119 0.000188 0.000298 0.000470 0.000760
2025-12-14 0.000046 0.000074 0.000117 0.000190 0.000309 0.000500 0.000831
2025-12-21 0.000043 0.000071 0.000115 0.000190 0.000318 0.000527 0.000899
2025-12-28 0.000040 0.000067 0.000111 0.000190 0.000325 0.000552 0.000967
2026-01-04 0.000038 0.000065 0.000111 0.000193 0.000340 0.000592 0.001065
2026-01-11 0.000035 0.000062 0.000109 0.000194 0.000349 0.000623 0.001150
2026-01-18 0.000033 0.000060 0.000106 0.000193 0.000356 0.000649 0.001230
2026-01-25 0.000031 0.000057 0.000103 0.000192 0.000362 0.000676 0.001312
2026-02-01 0.000029 0.000055 0.000101 0.000192 0.000370 0.000706 0.001402
2026-02-08 0.000027 0.000052 0.000098 0.000190 0.000373 0.000727 0.001476
2026-02-15 0.000025 0.000050 0.000096 0.000189 0.000379 0.000754 0.001567
2026-02-22 0.000024 0.000048 0.000094 0.000190 0.000388 0.000787 0.001670
2026-03-01 0.000023 0.000046 0.000091 0.000188 0.000392 0.000810 0.001755
2026-03-08 0.000022 0.000045 0.000091 0.000190 0.000403 0.000851 0.001882